Validation

Model validation and health diagnostics

This page summarizes production and research validation artifacts. If a stream is too fresh, you may see explicit "not enough data yet" states.

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Production and research validation are shown separately.

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Current Cohort Composition

Who is in each public sleeve?

Clickable ticker lists for the official production holdings, validation cohorts, bottom sleeve, and narrative watchlist.

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Select a sleeve card to inspect performance vs SPY.
Production vs Benchmark

Official Portfolio Tracking vs SPY

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Methodology Reconciliation

Why Official and V2 returns differ

The benchmark and date window must match. Portfolio returns may differ because the two views use different execution and cost assumptions.

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Research Diagnostics Advanced cohort diagnostics Top 10 / Middle 10 / Bottom 10 composition and performance, shown only as supporting diagnostics.
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Bottom Opportunity

Bottom sleeves vs SPY

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Narrative Divergence Watchlist

High innovation, weak finance candidates

Watchlist only, not production holdings. This list is independent from performance tracking availability.

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Narrative Performance Tracking

Narrative sleeves vs SPY

Performance tracking is separate from the current candidate list.

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Attribution

Outlier check and contributor diagnostics

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Confidence

Confidence diagnostics

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Bottom Engine

Bottom strategy diagnostics

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Data Availability

Validation artifacts and empty-state warnings

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Current Limitations

What this public validation view does not claim

  • Production performance starts from the first official monthly rebalance.
  • Some charts require at least two post-rebalance market data points.
  • Narrative and bottom sleeves are watchlists, not production holdings.
  • Daily snapshots are research-only.
  • Scores are model outputs, not investment advice.
Production Top 20

Why the official list stays stable

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